Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 8.124907e-01 1.029470 1.271746 1.559417 1.888790 2.251381 2.677934
2025-06-29 5.052058e-01 0.776310 1.116480 1.561320 2.114577 2.767680 3.584341
2025-07-06 2.997553e-01 0.572625 0.959992 1.515750 2.259612 3.190208 4.411176
2025-07-13 1.877372e-01 0.451147 0.873281 1.531254 2.467472 3.693619 5.361934
2025-07-20 1.155387e-01 0.358384 0.799308 1.542322 2.658289 4.177541 6.306970
2025-07-27 6.329879e-02 0.270819 0.705692 1.500850 2.760532 4.539397 7.101639
2025-08-03 3.227829e-02 0.204507 0.626331 1.462303 2.853938 4.884581 7.879752
2025-08-10 1.675449e-02 0.163658 0.581752 1.470952 3.013461 5.324315 8.796989
2025-08-17 6.430990e-03 0.121083 0.515734 1.426084 3.077968 5.622627 9.521362
2025-08-24 3.153754e-03 0.105636 0.509647 1.492528 3.327025 6.201488 10.656967
2025-08-31 9.057275e-04 0.083777 0.476183 1.496748 3.467515 6.618169 11.568244
2025-09-07 3.511498e-04 0.077551 0.487172 1.594887 3.775471 7.300618 12.880283
2025-09-14 4.929695e-05 0.066926 0.480357 1.655689 4.025511 7.909381 14.112573
2025-09-21 2.172892e-11 0.054470 0.460296 1.683286 4.216844 8.432592 15.232885
2025-09-28 NaN 0.039140 0.417152 1.648261 4.288431 8.765931 16.077501
2025-10-05 NaN 0.031003 0.399251 1.671394 4.469415 9.279688 17.203085
2025-10-12 NaN 0.023942 0.379880 1.686609 4.634143 9.769659 18.300416
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015782 0.342112 1.644249 4.680771 10.063621 19.102212
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009929 0.308097 1.604081 4.726708 10.355091 19.903404
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006966 0.292131 1.613748 4.874379 10.821442 20.983464
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003752 0.260326 1.566151 4.896878 11.071929 21.728267
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003144 0.264421 1.637089 5.176989 11.774858 23.197250
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001903 0.249892 1.641646 5.311985 12.226760 24.274616